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Guide

Hyperliquid Predictions Hub: HIP-4 Guide, Yes/No Markets and Unified Portfolio

Predictions Hub guide in Hyperfolio: explore live HIP-4 markets (sports, macro, crypto), track Yes/No positions alongside perps and spot on Hyperliquid.

July 26, 202617 min

Hyperliquid expanded beyond perps and spot with HIP-4: on-chain prediction markets where you trade binary Yes/No exposure on sports, macro or crypto events. Without a hub integrating those positions with the rest of your account, you lose visibility on real risk between leveraged perps and event-driven bets.

Hyperfolio Predictions Hub (app.hyperfolio.fun) centralizes exploration of active HIP-4 markets and tracking your Yes/No positions in the same panel where you already see equity, PnL, open perps and spot. It's read-only, no private keys, syncing from Hyperliquid's public API.

This guide covers what HIP-4 is, how to navigate Predictions Hub, metrics per position, and how to combine prediction markets with the rest of your Hyperfolio operational stack.

What is HIP-4 and Predictions Hub?

  • HIP-4: Hyperliquid framework for on-chain prediction markets
  • Yes/No contracts on events with verifiable resolution
  • Typical categories: sports, macro (Fed, CPI), crypto (ETF, listings)
  • Predictions Hub: dedicated Hyperfolio tab to explore and track
  • Yes/No positions visible alongside perps, spot and staking in portfolio
  • No wallet needed to explore markets; read-only connection for your positions

Explore live HIP-4 markets

Predictions Hub shows active HIP-4 markets listed on Hyperliquid: event title, implied probability (Yes/No price), volume and resolution date. Filter by category to find markets relevant to your macro or crypto thesis.

  • Sports: match results, championships, seasonal events
  • Macro: rate decisions, employment data, market-impact elections
  • Crypto: regulatory approvals, launches, protocol milestones
  • Implied probability derived from Yes price on HL order book
  • Market status: active, nearing resolution, resolved

Track Yes/No positions

Connect your Hyperliquid master address in read-only mode and Predictions Hub shows your open HIP-4 positions: Yes or No side, size, entry price, unrealized PnL and contribution to total account equity.

  • Breakdown per individual market — not just aggregate
  • Floating PnL updated with current Yes/No market price
  • Contribution to total equity alongside perps and spot
  • Resolution date to plan capital lock-up
  • Unified view: how much equity is in perps vs predictions

Integration with Hyperliquid portfolio

Predictions Hub doesn't live in isolation: it shares the dashboard with equity curve, stat cards, open perps, spot, HYPE staking, HIP-3 commodities and multi-venue aggregation (AsterDEX, Lighter, Robinhood Chain). Your total risk is the sum of all layers.

  • Total equity includes mark-to-market value of HIP-4 positions
  • Perp margin doesn't mix with prediction collateral — separate accounts in HL
  • Aggregated 24h PnL reflects moves in predictions and perps
  • USD/EUR privacy mode applies to entire panel
  • Demo mode lets you explore Predictions Hub UI without connecting wallet

Recommended operational flow

  • Explore HIP-4 markets in Predictions Hub — identify events with edge
  • Review portfolio: do you have perps correlated with the prediction?
  • Execute on HL official app if you decide to trade Yes/No
  • Return to Hyperfolio to track PnL and resolution date
  • Combine with Markets for price context on underlying assets
  • Use Perp Calculator if you want to hedge prediction exposure with perps

Predictions Hub vs other tools

Polymarket and Kalshi run on different infrastructure — they don't integrate HL perps or unified equity. Hyperfolio Predictions Hub is native Hyperliquid: same API data, same panel as Smart Money, wallet tracker and Markets.

  • Hyperfolio: predictions + perps + spot + Smart Money in one panel
  • Polymarket: multichain prediction markets, no HL portfolio
  • TradingView: charts, no HIP-4 positions
  • Official HL app: executes, but no aggregation with rest of Hyperfolio tools

Related guides: portfolio-multi-venue-hyperliquid-guia, markets-hyperliquid-guia, perp-calculator-hyperliquid-guia.

Common prediction market mistakes

  • Ignoring correlation between Yes/No position and open perps
  • Not checking resolution date — capital locked longer than expected
  • Trading markets with insufficient HL liquidity
  • Confusing implied probability with outcome certainty
  • Forgetting Hyperfolio tracks but doesn't execute — verify fills on official app

Conclusion

Hyperfolio Predictions Hub integrates HIP-4 markets into your Hyperliquid portfolio flow: explore live events, track Yes/No positions and contrast risk with perps, spot and multi-venue. It's free, read-only and accessible at app.hyperfolio.fun.

In 2026, the trader who sees predictions and perps in one panel manages risk better than whoever fragments event-driven exposure in separate spreadsheets.

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